Defeat to the Royal Challengers on Tuesday means that Mumbai’s hopes of defending their IPL crown are all but over. We are used to seeing the Indians start slowly but two wins from eight games isn’t good enough and they really have to take maximum points from their remaining six matches and hope that other results go their way.
In contrast, it’s been a very productive campaign for Kings XI so far with R Ashwin’s team picking up five wins from seven so, based on current form, is this an easy game to call?
The result betting shows, as it often does, that Mumbai are often priced on reputation as opposed to current form with most bookmakers offering the same win odds on both of these sides. Elsewhere, going into Friday’s game, Kings XI are slight favourites, with Betfair among those quoting odds of 1.86 while the same bookmaker makes Mumbai available at 1.95.
Had it not been for a poor last over from Mitchell McClenaghan, it’s likely that the Indians would have got over the line against RCB. Fine margins do dictate the T20 game and much could depend on who is available for KXIP but this is around the time that the defending champions start to pick up points and we just have a feeling that Mumbai will edge this.
Match Odds Summary: Kings XI Punjab 1.86 (Betfair), Mumbai Indians 1.95 (Betfair – Editor’s Pick).
Kings XI’s Chris Gayle expressed hopes that he would feature in every match after making his delayed debut for Punjab but it was clear that at 38, the West Indian would need to be managed through a long tournament. If Gayle plays on Friday, he will start as favourite to top score for KXIP at 3.50 with Betfair, just ahead of KL Rahul who is at 3.60 with Betfair once again.
We’ve yet to see the best of Aaron Finch but you can back the Aussie in this market at 6.00 with Betfair while other options here include Karun Nair at 6.00 with Betway and Yuvraj Singh at 9.00 with Betfair.
Moving across to Mumbai Indians’ version of the top batsman market and we find Evin Lewis as the overall favourite despite a disappointing tournament so far. The West Indian is available at 4.25 with Betway while Rohit Sharma follows at 4.50 with Betfair and Suryakumar Yadav is at that same 4.50, this time with Betway.
Mumbai always give us some value options in the middle order so you could opt for Kieron Pollard at 9.00, Hardik Pandya at 12.00 or Krunal Pandya at 17.00 – all with Betfair.
Our overall tip from these two markets isn’t an obvious one but it’s unlikely that Aaron Finch will be out of form for too long. The KXIP man is due a score and he’s drifted to what is an excellent price of 6.00 so now may be the best time to back him.
Top Batsman Odds Summary: Kings XI Punjab: Gayle 3.50 (Betfair), Rahul 3.60 (Betfair), Finch 6.00 (Betfair – Editor’s Pick), Nair 6.00 (Betway), Yuvraj 9.00 (Betfair).
Mumbai Indians: Lewis 4.25 (Betway), Rohit 4.50 (Betfair), Yadav 4.50 (Betway), Pollard 9.00 (Betfair), Hardik Pandya 12.00 (Betfair), Krunal Pandya 17.00 (Betfair).
Other Side Bets
Mumbai’s death bowling was put under pressure against RCB and Kings XI will also be tough to contain in the middle overs. Hardik Pandya ultimately returned best figures on the day of 3/28 and it may be wise to look at the all rounder again at 5.00 to do the same against KXIP.
We’ve not had much success with Top Bowler markets in this tournament however so, for our final tip, we’ll just take Kings XI to hit the most sixes. Mumbai are our tip to win the game but they lack the same depth of Power Hitting that lies in the Punjab camp.
If Chris Gayle plays this could be a certainty but even without the West Indian, the likes of Finch and Rahul should be able to convert this to a profit even if they lose the fixture.
Most Sixes Odds Summary: Kings XI Punjab 2.00 (Betfair), Mumbai Indians 2.00 (Betfair), The Tie 7.50 (Betfair).