Hosts Sri Lanka would have been confident of making the final after beating India in the first match of this competition but three defeats later and they are eliminated, leaving Rohit Sharma’s men to face Bangladesh in Sunday’s match.
The Bangladeshis claimed impressive victories over the Sri Lankans while losing twice to India so will this final, in Colombo, go with form?
The bookies are certainly backing India for the win with Rohit’s men available at odds of 1.36 with Betfair. It’s a price that leaves Bangladesh as the rank outsiders at 3.40 with Betfair again but can they find improvement from those two defeats and upset this market?
With Shakib Al Hasan back in the side they certainly look stronger and have recorded two impressive run chases. Mushfiqur Rahman is the man in form with the bat, notching 190 runs so far, and is therefore a key wicket. India need their own batters to be on top form as the bowling attack could potentially be under pressure and if the top order can fire, the favourites will deliver.
Match Odds Summary: Bangladesh 3.40 (Betfair), India 1.36 (Betfair – Editor’s Pick).
Shikhar Dhawan has 188 runs of his own in this tri-series while Rohit Sharma is also running into form and most bookies can’t split them at the top of India’s run scoring market for Sunday’s final. Meanwhile, Betway have Rohit as the narrow favourite at 3.60 with Dhawan only marginally further back at 3.75.
Other options for India include Suresh Raina, who has been in decent touch without making a big contribution, at 4.75 while KL Rahul looks too short for us at 4.50. There is some definite value down the order where Manish Pandey is available at 6.50 and Dinesh Karthik is quoted at 10.00. Once again, all of those prices are with Betway.
For Bangladesh, Mushfiqur is the danger man and he can be picked up at 4.33 with Betway but it’s Tamim Iqbal who starts as favourite at 3.75 with Betway again. Shakib comes in and becomes an option at an excellent 9.00 while Liton Das and Mahmudullah are both at 5.50 – all with Betway.
For value alone, you’d want to look at Mushfiqur in that market but for an overall tip, we’ll switch back to India. There are choices here but we think it’s between the top two and are expecting Dhawan to take his turn in providing the major contribution.
Top Batsman Odds Summary: India: Rohit 3.60 (Betway), Dhawan 3.75 (Betway – Editor’s Pick), Rahul 4.50 (Betway), Raina 4.75 (Betway), Pandey 6.50 (Betway), Karthik 10.00 (Betway).
Bangladesh: Tamim 3.75 (Betway), Mushfiqur 4.33 (Betway), Liton Das 5.50 (Betway), Mahmudullah 5.50 (Betway), Shakib 9.00 (Betway).
Other Side Bets
Once again we have a limited set of betting markets for this tournament as the bookmakers react slowly to a competition with fast turnaround times. On occasions like these, we tend to stick with old favourites so we’ll stay with India’s top bowler market even though it’s not been great for us recently.
The reason is that we’ve been overlooking Washington Sundar who is really coming of age as an international bowler. The young leg spinner is available for Sunday at 4.25 with Betway but it’s Yuzvendra Chahal who starts as favourite at 3.75 with Betway again. Jaydev Unadkat may come back in and give you an option at 4.25 while Shardul Thakur is at 4.75 – both with Betway.
For us, it’s between the two slow men and while Sundar has been noted for the future, surely it’s time for Chahal to shine as we reach the final.
India Top Bowler Odds Summary: Chahal 3.75 (Betway – Editor’s Pick), Sundar 4.25 (Betway), Unadkat 4.25 (Betway), Thakur 4.75 (Betway).
India’s bowlers are naturally important but we think the batsmen are key to this one. Anything can happen in a one-off T20 game but with two wins already against this opposition, India should make it three against Bangladesh if Dhawan, Raina and stand-in skipper Rohit Sharma maintain their form at the top of the order.