The series is alive following South Africa’s victory in the fourth ODI on Saturday. Thunder and rain played a part but Duckworth Lewis Stern set the home side a fairly stiff target from 28 overs and for once, the South African batters got the best of India’s spin attack.
Now we move on to Port Elizabeth for Tuesday’s fifth game and the hosts may just have a little more confidence and belief that they can still level this series.
It’s the weekend, and we had a late finish to that game in Johannesburg so perhaps it’s not surprising that the bookmakers have been a little late in declaring prices for Port Elizabeth. After the wait for odds, India remain favourites but the gap has shortened ahead of Tuesday’s match and Virat Kohli’s men can now be backed at 1.75 with Royal Panda. That leaves South Africa as marginal second favourites at 2.15 with Betway.
It would have been interesting to see if South Africa could have chased down India’s original total of 289 but their display in chasing a smaller target does raise issues. India’s spinners, Yuzvendra Chahal and Kuldeep Yadav, who had been so effective in the middle overs, went for a combined rate of over ten so have the home side found the way to play them?
A little rain is also forecast for Port Elizabeth so you may want to wait for the toss and to see the conditions but if we get a full game in, I would expect India to lift their game and clinch the series.
Match Odds Summary: South Africa: 2.15 (Betway) India: 1.75 (Royal Panda – Editor’s Pick).
We got behind Virat Kohli in the previous match and while the skipper gave us a good run for our money with his 75, Shikhar Dhawan delivered the profit with a century in his 100th ODI. For Tuesday, Kohli remains favourite to top score for his side at 3.00 with Betway. Dhawan follows at 4.33 while Rohit Sharma, who has endured a poor series so far, is back at 5.00 with Betway again.
We usually get lots of value in the middle order but MS Dhoni looks a little short at 6.00. Ajinkya Rahane may be a better option at 6.50 or you could go down to Hardik Pandya at 17.00 and once again, all of those prices are with Betway.
South Africa found an unlikely hero in Heinrich Klassen who top scored on Saturday, proving that it may be wiser to go on the attack when the spinners are on. Klaasen is available at 12.00 with Betway to top score for the hosts again in a market where AB De Villiers starts as favourite at 3.50 with Betway. AB would be our preference but other options here include Hashim Amla at 4.00, JP Duminy at 5.00 and David Miller at 5.50 – all with Betway.
As for our overall tip, while he’s shown no form so far, we usually get some good profits from Rohit Sharma in an ODI series and we feel he’s due.
Top Batsman Odds Summary: South Africa: De Villiers 3.50 (Betway), Amla 4.00 (Betway), Duminy 5.00 (Betway), Miller 5.50 (Betway), Klaasen 12.00 (Betway).
India: Kohli 3.00 (Betway), Dhawan 4.33 (Betway), Rohit 5.00 (Betway – Editor’s Pick), Dhoni 6.00 (Betway), Rahane 6.50 (Betway), Pandya 17.00 (Betway).
Other Side Bets
It’s been a comprehensive round up to this point so we’ll finish quickly with our final tip. Both sides are priced at 2.08 with Royal Panda to hit the most sixes and, if we get a full game, India should pick up the pace and deliver at a figure that offers a good alternative to the 1.75 on offer in the straight result market.
Most Sixes Odds Summary: South Africa 2.08 (Royal Panda), India 2.08 (Royal Panda – Editor’s Pick), The Tie 7.18 (Royal Panda).
Coming back to that result and this is all about South Africa and how they handle the opposition spin attack. They can be aggressive and keep this series alive but we expect India, who were a little subdued in Johannesburg, to lift their game and claim the match.