A long tour comes to an end in Cape Town this Saturday and it may surprise many that the T20 leg is level after two games. India have dominated for the limited overs part of their visit but in the short form anything can happen and the tourists came through on Wednesday to level at 1-1.
South Africa will naturally gain confidence after that six wicket victory but how are the bookmakers viewing the decider?
India retain their favourites slot and you can get behind Virat Kohli’s men at odds of 1.70 with Betfair while a win for the South Africans comes in at 2.30 with Betway.
India’s batters performed well, taking first knock in the second game but there was always a feeling that their total of 188 might be a little short. We talk about one-off performances winning games and we saw that with Heinrich Klassen’s blitz of 69 from just 30 balls with no fewer than seven sixes. It can happen again but India should step up the pace a little this time and look to go closer to 200 if they take first knock. We tipped a 2-1 series win to India at the start of the series and we’re sticking with that.
Match Odds Summary: South Africa: 2.30 (Betway), India 1.70 (Betfair – Editor’s Pick)
While we felt it was time to switch to Virat Kohli for Wednesday’s match, Manish Pandey led the way with his 79 supported by a half century from MS Dhoni but it’s Kohli who starts as favourite to score most Indian runs in Cape Town once again at a price of 3.00 with Betway.
In fact, Betway are the only bookmaker quoting odds for this market at the time of writing but their prices are always strong so we are happy that we’re getting value here. If you don’t want to take Kohli, Rohit Sharma is at 4.33 and Shikhar Dhawan is priced at 4.50. Of the two highest scorers from the last match, Manish Pandey is available at 7.50 while MS Dhoni is further back at 10.00.
Hardik Pandya may be another option at an excellent 21.00 and once again, all of those prices are with Betway.
Moving across to South Africa’s version of this market and we keep in mind that both Klassen and JP Duminy scored half centuries as they chased down India’s total. Duminy starts as joint favourite for Cape Town along with David Miller at odds of 4.33 while Klassen has top scored in both of South Africa’s limited overs wins in this series and will therefore tempt many at 6.00.
Other options here include Reeza Hendricks at 4.50 and JJ Smuts at 5.50 – all with Betway again. We’ve a preference for David Miller but as an overall tip, Rohit Sharma fits our bill as a man who threatened a big effort in the opening game and only needs some time at the crease for a major contribution which we feel is due.
Top Batsman Odds Summary: South Africa: Miller 4.33 (Betway), Duminy 4.33 (Betway), Hendricks 4.50 (Betway), Smuts 5.50 (Betway), Klassen 6.00 (Betway).
India: Kohli 3.00 (Betway), Rohit 4.33 (Betway – Editor’s Pick), Dhawan 4.50 (Betway), Pandey 7.50 (Betway), Dhoni 10.00 (Betway), Pandya 21.00 (Betway).
Other Side Bets
Heinrich Klassen almost single-handedly destroyed our tip for India to hit the most sixes but that is a market that we could potentially revisit. As we’ve seen as we moved through this preview, the bookmakers have been a little slow to react to Wednesday’s game but we expect that market to be tight when it does appear with both teams close to the 2.00 mark.
However, we’re going to return to another old favourite for our final tip and while Bhuvneshwar Kumar went wicketless on Wednesday, he was exceptional in the opening game, taking that five-for and we expect him to return to that form in Cape Town and return the best Indian figures in what we hope will be an away victory.
Top Indian Bowler Odds Summary: Chahal 3.75 (Betway), Unadkat 4.00 (Betway), Bhuvneshwar Kumar 4.25 (Betway – Editor’s Pick), Pandya 5.00 (Betway), Thakur 5.00 (Betway).