It wasn’t a huge surprise to see India cruise to victory in the first of three T20is on Sunday and with South Africa missing so many players right now they must be looking forward to the end of this tour.
As is the nature with Twenty20 Internationals, it’s a very quick turnaround so it’s on to Centurion for the third game which goes off on Wednesday.
India strengthen their position as favourites following that 28 run victory and Virat Kohli’s side can now be taken at odds of 1.61 with Betfair for Centurion. That leaves South Africa as the outside punt at 2.62 with Betway but how can they possibly overcome that market and deliver an upset?
With AB De Villiers now ruled out of this series, the home side have so many absentees and while there are some promising cricketers in their line up, they don’t match the quality of the tourists right now. Of course, anything can happen in the shortest format of the game but based on comparative squad strength and previous results, we’re sticking with India for now.
Match Odds Summary: South Africa 2.62 (Betway), India 1.61 (Betfair – Editor’s Pick).
We correctly called Shikhar Dhawan as India’s top batter from Sunday’s match and the left hander is definitely an option for Wednesday’s game at 4.50 with Betway. Virat Kohli starts in his customary position as favourite but while Betway have him as short as 3.00, Betfair’s price of 4.00 on the skipper is clearly a much better one and we suggest taking that quickly in case it changes.
Other options for India include Rohit Sharma at 4.33 and Suresh Raina at 5.00, both with Betway while MS Dhoni at 12.00 and Hardik Pandya at an excellent 17.00, both with Betway again, could provide some exceptional prices lower down.
There are some tempting odds in that selection but we think it’s going to be Kohli’s day so we’re getting behind the skipper.
For the South Africans, we have three players locked in the favourite’s slot, all at 4.33 with Betfair. Reeza Hendricks impressed in the first game and he sits at that price alongside JP Duminy and JJ Smuts. Alternatively, David Miller could be a much better option at 5.00 with Betfair again and if the top order collapses, we could look at keeper-batsman Heinrich Klassen who is out at 8.50 with Betway.
For this game, we have a suspicion that David Miller is going to come good but Kohli remains our overall tip from the two sets of markets.
Top Batsman Odds Summary: South Africa: Hendricks 4.33 (Betfair), Smuts 4.33 (Betfair), Duminy 4.33 (Betfair), Miller 5.00 (Betfair), Klassen 8.50 (Betway).
India: Kohli 4.00 (Betway – Editor’s Pick), Rohit 4.33 (Betway), Dhawan 4.50 (Betway), Raina 5.00 (Betway), Dhoni 12.00 (Betway), Pandya 17.00 (Betway).
Other Side Bets
By correctly backing India to hit the most sixes in Johannesburg, we completed a sweep of three winning bets from three so it might make sense to look at that market again. This time it’s Royal Panda with the better prices as India start as favourites at 1.94.
Alternatively, we could perhaps look at the Man of the Match betting which has been good to us in the past. Bhuvneshwar Kumar took the award in the first game but we wouldn’t look too far past India’s batters for Wednesday with Virat Kohli the most likely option at 6.50 with Betfair, followed by Shikhar Dhawan and Rohit Sharma who are both at 10.00 with Betfair once again.
However, like India themselves, we don’t see any reason to change a winning formula so, apologies for repeating ourselves but we think that the Most Sixes market is the place to be in a game where the tourists’ power hitting will be key to winning the match and sealing the series.
Most Sixes Odds Summary: South Africa 2.24 (Royal Panda), India 1.94 (Royal Panda – Editor’s Pick), The Tie 7.21 (Royal Panda).