While they were the outsiders to win the first game of this six match series, we felt that India carried over enough momentum from the tests to claim an opening win. That proved to be the case and with a scoreline of 1-0 to the visitors, we now move on to Centurion for the second game which goes off on Sunday.
The South Africans remain favourites here but it’s certainly a much tighter market than the one we saw in Durban. The hosts start at 1.85 with Betway while the odds for an Indian victory come in at 2.20 with Betfair.
South Africa’s total of 269 in the first game never looked like being enough and afterwards, Faf Du Plessis said that they needed 300 at least. India’s spinners, particularly Kuldeep Yadav, tied them down in the middle phase but there is scope for the hosts to explode and be more positive.
The toss could be important and both sides may prefer to chase but I expect South Africa to pick up the pace and keep this series tight moving forward.
Match Odds Summary: South Africa 1.85 (Betway – Editor’s Pick), India 2.20 (Betfair).
Virat Kohli justified his place as the favourite to top score for India with yet another ODI century and the skipper starts in this market for Centurion at 3.40 with Betfair. That leads to a significant gap over three men at 4.50 with Betfair – Rohit Sharma, Shikhar Dhawan and Suresh Raina.
Ajinkya Rahane offered good support to the captain and he can be picked up at 6.00 while MS Dhoni at 8.5 and Hardik Pandya at an excellent 15.00 provide value down the order. All of those prices are with Betfair once again.
Moving across to South Africa and while it was Faf Du Plessis who delivered the profit last time out, Hashim Amla and Quinton De Kock are the joint favourites for Centurion at 4.00 with Betfair. Du Plessis is close behind at 4.33 with Betfair and then we have a gap to Aiden Markram at 6.00 and David Miller at 7.00 – both with Betfair.
This could be Miller Time: a game where the left hander makes one of his explosive knocks and gives a nice profit at the same time but for our overall tip, we’re looking for Rohit to play a little more responsibly and make a major contribution for India.
Top Batsman Odds Summary: India: Kohli 3.40 (Betfair), Rohit Sharma 4.50 (Betfair – Editor’s Pick), Dhawan 4.50 (Betfair), Raina 4.50 (Betfair), Rahane 6.00 (Betfair), Dhoni 8.50 (Betfair), Pandya 15.00 (Betfair).
South Africa: Amla 4.00 (Betfair), De Kock 4.00 (Betfair), Du Plessis 4.33 (Betfair), Markram 6.00 (Betfair), Miller 7.00 (Betfair).
Other Side Bets
We overlooked the Century on First Innings bet last time but this could certainly come into play now with both sides delivering centurions in Durban. For Sunday’s game, the odds on this event stay at 2.20 with Royal Panda and we’re definitely swaying to this option.
Alternatively, you could take a look at India’s top bowler market which is an old favourite of ours. Jasprit Bumrah is the favourite here at 3.60 with Betfair while the same bookmaker is offering better odds of 4.50 on either Bhuvneshwar Kumar or Yuzvendra Chahal who gave the profit in Durban.
But we’ll stick with the century bet in a game where we expect both sides to up the tempo in terms of run scoring.
Century to be Scored on First Innings Odds Summary: Yes 2.20 (Royal Panda – Editor’s Pick), No 1.60 (Royal Panda).
As for the result, it’s tempting to back India to keep that momentum going and they still offer value at 2.20 even though the market is getting tighter. However, we expect South Africa to be much more positive in this game and if they keep wickets in hand, the likes of Miller and Duminy can score quickly in the final overs to square the series for the home side.