A controversial test series ended in dramatic fashion at the weekend as India claimed their first win of the tour but ended the five day games on the wrong end of a 2-1 scoreline. With those South African pitches dominating much of the headlines, it will be a relief in some ways to move on to the ODIs where the surfaces will presumably set up for the limited overs format.
The first of six one-dayers go-es off in Durban on Thursday but after those three tests, what do the bookies make of it all?
India will fancy their chances of making more of an impact in the 50 over games but they aren’t getting too much support from the odds setters right now. South Africa go into this first match as favourites at 1.66 with Betfair while India are behind at odds of 2.32 with Betway.
Those prices surprise nobody but while South Africa may have won the test series, the nature of those pitches didn’t allow their batters to find any real form. For the likes of AB De Villiers, a free flowing hitter, it was a real battle while Quinton De Kock is just completely out of touch.
With David Miller and JP Duminy set to come in, the middle order looks stronger but momentum is with India and there is value in that 2.30 price. We are expecting a close series and wouldn’t be shocked by a 3-3 scoreline but we’ll take that price on India before it shortens in later games.
Match Odds Summary: South Africa 1.66 (Betfair) India: 2.32 (Betway – Editor’s Pick)
Virat Kohli was rested from India’s last ODI series but the captain is restored and the visitors should be at full strength for this first game. Kohli starts as favourite to top score for his side in Durban and can be picked up at 3.75 with Betfair. Rohit Sharma has been good for us in limited overs forms and he is available at 4.20 with Betfair while other Indian options include Shikhar Dhawan and Suresh Raina at 4.50 and Ajinkya Rahane at 5.50. Meanwhile MS Dhoni and Hardik Pandya offer the value at 11.00 and 14.00 respectively. Once again, all of those prices are with Betfair.
For South Africa, Hashim Amla will be keen to show what he can do in a one day format having been overlooked for IPL11 and he looks good at 3.75 with Betfair to score most runs for the home side. We’d certainly look to avoid Quinton De Kock at 4.00 with Betfair but some better alternatives are AB De Villiers and Faf Du Plessis at 4.50 or David Miller at 6.00, all with Betfair again.
Amla is the man to watch here but for an overall tip from this section, we’re looking at Rohit to deliver.
Top Batsman Odds Summary: India: Kohli 3.75 (Betfair), Rohit Sharma 4.20 (Betfair – Editor’s Pick), Dhawan 4.50 (Betfair), Raina 4.50 (Betfair), Rahane 5.50 (Betfair), Dhoni 11.00 (Betfair), Pandya 14.00 (Betfair)
South Africa: Amla 3.75 (Betfair), De Kock 4.00 (Betfair), De Villiers 4.50 (Betfair), Du Plessis 4.50 (Betfair), Miller 6.00 (Betfair).
Other Side Bets
In the 50 over game we all have our preference for side bets and one of ours is the individual century market. Unfortunately, whereas we were getting some nice prices of around 2.40 some three years ago, that has changed with bigger team scores approaching and exceeding 400.
For Thursday’s game, we can only currently find odds for a first innings ton and these are at 2.20 with Royal Panda. It’s a tempter but we’ll finish on what we feel is a safer option. We’re relying on India’s batters to win the game for the tourists but even if they fall short, there is the strong possibility that they will hit the most sixes and at 2.20 with Betfair, we think that’s a good price.
Most Sixes Odds Summary: South Africa 1.83 (Betfair), India 2.20 (Betfair – Editor’s Pick), The Tie 8.00 (Betfair)