A century from Colin Munro and four wickets from Trent Boult were the keys for New Zealand as they fought back in Rajkot to level this three match series. The decider is in Thiruvananthapuram this Tuesday and we are set up nicely for what should be a thriller.
We’re all square between two dangerous sides but the result betting looks very familiar right now.
India go into the game as clear favourites and the price on Virat Kohli’s men currently stands at 1.50 with Bet365. That leaves the Kiwis as the outside option at 2.80 with Betfair.
We’ve been saying since the start of this tour that New Zealand will be a threat and were certain that they would pick up wins in the limited overs format. Munro was an unlikely hero maybe but this was his second T20i ton and there is danger through the team.
The tourists can definitely win it but we’d tipped a 2-1 series victory to India and, if they bat first and bat big, the home side should have the superior quality in the bowling attack to get over the line.
Match Odds Summary: India 1.50 (Bet365 – Editor’s Pick), New Zealand 2.80 (Betfair).
At 11-2 India were under too much pressure early on and much depends on how Rohit Sharma and Shikhar Dhawan fare in the Powerplay overs. Those two are locked at the same best price of 4.33 with Bet365 to top score for their side on Tuesday while Virat Kohli starts as favourite again at 3.75, also with Bet365.
Shreyas Iyer made a reasonable start to his T20 batting career and can be picked up in this market at 5.50 with Bet365 while India’s value options – Hardik Pandya and MS Dhoni – are both at 11.00 with Bet365.
We’d gone for Rohit last time out and have a habit of dropping him at the wrong time so we’ll stick with the opener and look for him to make a telling contribution.
For New Zealand, Colin Munro shortens and will be a tempter for many at best odds of 4.50 with Bet365. Kane Williamson and Martin Guptill start as favourites and can be backed at the same price of 3.75 with Bet365 while Tom Latham could be a good option at a best of 7.00 with Bet365 in the event of a top order collapse.
We still expect Guptill to fire at some point in this series but from the two sets of markets, Rohit is our overall pick.
Top Batsman Odds Summary: India: Kohli 3.75 (Bet365), Sharma 4.33 (Bet365 – Editor’s Pick), Dhawan 4.33 (Bet365), Iyer 5.50 (Bet365), Pandya 11.00 (Bet365), Dhoni 11.00 (Bet365).
New Zealand: Williamson 3.75 (Bet365), Guptill 3.75 (Bet365), Munro 4.50 (Bet365), Latham 7.00 (Bet365), Nicholls 9.00 (Bet365).
Other Side Bets
Our only return from Saturday’s match in Rajkot came in India’s top bowler market where Yuzvendra Chahal returned best figures for the hosts. That’s an option again and strangely the leg spinner has drifted for the third game from 4.50 to a tempting 5.00 with Bet365.
Jasprit Bumrah starts as favourite again at 4.00 with Bet365 while Axar Patel and Bhuvneshwar Kumar are both listed at 4.50 with Bet365.
For our final tip, we’ll look at the batting and if you think another ton will come in this deciding game, you can currently get odds of 7.50 with Bet365. That could be worth a small wager but we’ll play safer by taking India to hit the most sixes in this match at 1.80 with Bet365. It’s a good option if the batters perform as they did in the first game and it gives more value than India’s straight win price of 1.50.
Most Sixes Odds Summary: India 1.80 (Bet365 – Editor’s Pick), New Zealand 2.40 (Bet365), the Tie 8.00 (Bet365).
We know that this series could easily go 2-1 to either side and that India have to be wary of New Zealand’s explosive top order. The hosts may like to chase but the key could be to bat first and post a big total and we’re backing India to do just that.