We’re only three games into this five match series but the result is already settled. India came into the games on the back of a strong showing against Sri Lanka and were fully expected to take the ODI leg of this tour but we did expect Australia to be a little more competitive.
Gaps in quality in key areas have led to the 3-0 scoreline. India have been so much better at tying down a weak Australian middle order while the home side’s batsmen have strength in depth – something that the tourists will envy.
So, can we expect any change when the teams meet for the fourth game in Bangalore on Thursday?
The bookies certainly don’t see any change to the outcome with Virat Kohli’s India starting as clear favourites for the fourth ODI at best odds of 1.62 with Betfair. Australia, meanwhile, are available at a top price of 2.50 with Bet365 and Betway.
We had felt that the Aussies would lose the series but that Steve Smith’s side would take at least one game out of the five. Now, however, we are not so sure. We’d even tipped the tourists to win on Sunday and they were given a great platform, led by Aaron Finch with 124. However, that suspect middle order struggled once again.
In reply, India coasted to their target with relative ease and with more than two overs to spare. Taking everything into account, it’s hard to see where Australia can win against opposition who are simply too strong.
Match Odds Summary: India 1.62 (Betfair – Editor’s Pick), Australia 2.50 (Bet365)
For the second time in this series, Hardik Pandya top scored for India as he powered his side over the line. He has come down from an initial price in India’s top batsman market of 19.00 ahead of the first game, down to 13.00, and for this match in Bangalore, you can pick up the all rounder at 7.00 with Betfair.
The usual names dominate the top of the betting here with Virat Kohli available at best odds of 3.75 with Bet365 and Rohit Sharma close behind at a top price of 4.50 with Betfair. That looks to be good value on Rohit who found form in the third game, particularly when you consider that Ajinkya Rahane is in front of him at 4.33 with Betfair.
With Pandya shortening, MS Dhoni continues to offer some value in the final overs at excellent best odds of 11.00 with Bet365.
Moving across to Australia and we have David Warner leading the way at 3.75 with Bet365 and Steve Smith following at 4.00 with Bet365 again. Aaron Finch is clearly in good nick at 4.33 with Bet365 while Glenn Maxwell is at 7.00 and Peter Handscomb at 5.00 – both with Bet365 once again.
We feel that it’s time for Smith to deliver in this match but from the two sides, that price on Rohit Sharma of 4.50 is an excellent one so he is our overall tip.
Top Batsman Odds Summary: India: Kohli 3.75 (Bet365), Rahane 4.33 (Betfair), Rohit Sharma 4.50 (Betfair – Editor’s Pick), Pandya 7.00 (Betfair), Dhoni 11.00 (Bet365).
Australia: Warner 3.75 (Bet365), Smith 4.00 (Bet365), Finch 4.33 (Bet365), Handscomb 5.00 (Bet365), Maxwell 7.00 (Bet365).
Other Side Bets
India’s spinners have kept things tight in the middle overs but the seamers have played their part too and the wickets have largely been shared around. Jasprit Bumrah returned best figures in Sunday’s match and he is favourite to do so again at best odds of 4.00 with Betfair in India’s top bowler market.
Other options include Yuzvendra Chahal at 4.50 with Bet365 and Bhuvneshwar Kumar at 5.00 with Bet365 and Betfair but we’re backing Kuldeep Yadav at 4.50 with Bet365 as our final tip.
India Top Bowler Odds Summary: Bumrah 4.00 (Betfair), Chahal 4.50 (Bet365), Kuldeep Yadav 4.50 (Bet365 – Editor’s Pick), Kumar 5.00 (Bet365).
Those Indian bowlers could hold the key again and while Australia can always claim the match, they look too weak as a bowling unit to get off the mark on Thursday.