These two sides seemed to dominate much of the group phase of IPL 10 so it’s perhaps a little surprising that neither has made it straight through to Sunday’s final. As it is, we’re down to winner takes all when the teams meet in Bangalore on Friday but who has the edge going into this contest?
We expected a tight market for this game but as we head into it, most bookies have the same win price on both sides. Elsewhere, the Knight Riders are very slight favourites at 1.90 with Bet365 and Betfair while Mumbai Indians are the marginal outside punt at a best of 1.95 with Betway.
Many will point to the successful campaign that Mumbai mounted as they finished top of the group table and also to some of the unfortunate dismissals that slowed their run chase against Pune on Tuesday. Lendl Simmons was particularly unlucky, run out whilst backing up and who knows what would have happened if the West Indian had survived and gone on to be equally as explosive as Parthiv Patel in those opening overs?
KKR have momentum however, and even though they had the better of Duckworth Lewis, they restricted Sunrisers to 128 and would have likely won anyway. That’s why they are slight favourites but if Mumbai get their selection right, and that batting line up is at their best, that’s the key to winning this contest.
Match Odds Summary: Mumbai Indians 1.95 (Betway – Editor’s Pick), Kolkata Knight Riders 1.90 (Bet365).
Simmons will be hoping for better luck in Bangalore and the opener is joint favourite to score most runs for his side on Friday at a top price of 4.33 with Bet365 and Betfair. Parthiv Patel, who delivered the profit in that defeat to the Supergiant, is another option at 5.00 with Bet365 while Rohit Sharma joins Simmons at the top of the betting at 4.33 with Bet365 again.
Other potential picks here include Ambati Rayudu at 5.50 with Bet365 and Kieron Pollard at an excellent best of 7.50 with Betfair but we’re expecting Simmons to explode and make up for that disappointing effort last time out.
Kolkata tinkered with their batting order as they chased down just 48 against SRH but we would expect Sunil Narine to open again in a full game. The pinch hitting West Indian is quoted at a best price of 7.00 with Betfair in KKR’s top batsman market while Chris Lynn starts as favourite at 3.5 with Bet365.
Gautam Gambhir steadied things as the Knight Riders lost early wickets in that run chase and the skipper looks good at 4.00 with Bet365 while Robin Uthappa is listed at a generous top price of 5.50 with Betfair. We favour Chris Lynn to get KKR off to another fast start but Simmons is the overall tip from the two sides.
Top Batsman Odds Summary: Mumbai Indians: Simmons 4.33 (Bet365 – Editor’s Pick), Rohit Sharma 4.33 (Bet365), Patel 5.00 (Bet365), Rayudu 5.50 (Bet365), Pollard 7.50 (Betfair).
Kolkata Knight Riders: Lynn 3.50 (Bet365), Gambhir 4.00 (Bet365), Uthappa 5.50 (Betfair), Narine 7.00 (Betfair).
Other Side Bets
The batting shoot outs that we’ve been waiting for haven’t quite come to fruition in these play offs but the batters could hold the key on Friday. With that in mind, Mumbai give you slightly better value at a best of 2.10 with Betway to win the Powerplay and if Simmons and Patel can both start powerfully and stay for most of those six overs, they should take this market comfortably.
Highest First Six Overs Odds Summary: Kolkata Knight Riders 1.80 (Bet365), Mumbai Indians 2.10 (Betway – Editor’s Pick).
With a little bit of extra luck, Mumbai would have already been in Hyderabad rather than Bangalore, preparing for Sunday’s final and we’re backing them to fare better this time around. The weather looks OK for Friday so hopefully we will get a full game this time and we’re looking for Simmons and Patel to start quickly with Rohit and Rayudu building before Pollard explodes at the death to take Mumbai into that final.