While both sides find themselves in Wednesday’s eliminator, they had very different paths on the way here. KKR looked almost certain to claim second place and therefore avoid this ‘sudden death’ game but two straight defeats see Gautam Gambhir’s men head to Bangalore.
Sunrisers, on the other hand, needed to win their last match to be certain of progression and it’s not always been a convincing year for David Warner’s men. Performances have been contrasting but what do the bookies make of this clash on neutral ground?
The market for this one is very tight with many bookmakers quoting the same win price for both sides. Elsewhere, Kolkata are the slight favourites at 1.91 with Betway while the Sunrisers are only marginally further back at 1.95 with Betfair.
The first point to look at is why SRH have struggled despite having two men occupying the top slots in the race for the Orange Cap. David Warner and Shikhar Dhawan have been scoring the runs and they have received support at times from Kane Williamson, Yuvraj Singh and Moises Henriques.
Leg spinner Rashid Khan has starred with the ball while wickets have been shared around and it’s really down to a poor away record that the Sunrisers needed to win their last group game in order to progress.
As for KKR, those two defeats will be a concern and they need Chris Lynn to fire and be backed up by Sunil Narine, Gautam Gambhir and Robin Uthappa. It’s as tight as the bookies are suggesting and I would prefer to wait for the toss and back the chasing side but if pushed, I feel that Sunrisers are going to find form again just at the right time.
Match Odds Summary: Sunrisers Hyderabad 1.95 (Betfair – Editor’s Pick), Kolkata Knight Riders 1.91 (Betway).
Warner and Dhawan naturally dominate the market for the Sunrisers with the Australian skipper starting as favourite to top score for his side at a best of 3.40 with Betfair. Dhawan follows at 4.33 with Bet365 while Kane Williamson can also be found at that 4.33 price with Betfair.
As we’ve seen through this tournament, Yuvraj at 6.00 with Bet365 and Moises Henriques at 5.50 with Bet365 can also threaten but Warner is invaluable in the biggest games and I’m backing him to step up and deliver another profit.
Another Australian, Chris Lynn, heads the Knight Riders’ market at 3.40 with Bet365, followed by skipper Gambhir at a top price of 4.33 with Bet365 again. Robin Uthappa is a reliable favourite of ours and would be my preference at 4.50 with Betfair while Narine’s occasionally effective pinch hitting sees him installed at a best of 8.00 with Betfair.
Uthappa could be a calm head on what may be a difficult afternoon for KKR but the tip here is with Warner in the Sunrisers’ camp.
Top Batsman Odds Summary: Warner 3.40 (Betfair – Editor’s Pick), Dhawan 4.33 (Bet365), Williamson 4.33 (Betfair), Henriques 5.50 (Bet365), Yuvraj 6.00 (Bet365).
Kolkata Knight Riders: Lynn 3.40 (Bet365), Gambhir 4.33 (Bet365), Uthappa 4.50 (Betfair), Narine 8.00 (Betfair).
Other Side Bets
You could take a number of options in batting related markets and once again, the prices are very tight. In the most sixes betting, Kolkata are leading the way at best odds of 2.00 with Bet365 while the Sunrisers follow at a top price of 2.25 with Betfair.
That’s a tempter but we’ll switch to something similar and take the Powerplay bet where SRH are our pick to be ahead at the end of the first six overs at 2.00 with Bet365. KKR are favourites again at 1.80 with Bet365 but if Narine falls early as we expect he will, the pressure goes right on the rest and could lead to a subdued start.
Highest First Six Overs Odds Summary: Sunrisers Hyderabad 2.00 (Bet365 – Editor’s Pick), Kolkata Knight Riders 1.80 (Bet365).
As for the result, it is so tight and one big innings or devastating spell could take it. You may want to check conditions and the toss but I’m backing Warner and Dhawan to make the difference here.