Australia have started strongly in their warm up matches for the 2017 ICC Champions Trophy and should make it comfortably out of Group B. New Zealand are, however, a very dangerous side and when they are at their best the Kiwis can be hard to live with.
This could be a pivotal game in the group and, if New Zealand were to cause an upset, they would be well set to progress with games against England and Bangladesh to follow so how are the bookmakers reading this one?
Australia start as clear favourites and ahead of this game you can get odds of 1.50 with Bet365 and Betfair. That leaves New Zealand as a tempting outside bet at a top price of 2.75 with Betway.
It certainly is a tempter to go with the Kiwis and they’ve beaten Australia in recent times with some explosive hitting allied to tight swing bowling from the likes of Trent Boult and Tim Southee. A good start from Guptill and Williamson could give them the platform to go past 350 and this could, at the very least, be a lot tighter than the market suggests.
However, Australia do seem to come through when it matters most and with more depth to their batting and bowling, we’ll side with the favourites for this one.
Match Odds Summary: Australia 1.50 (Bet365 – Editor’s Pick), New Zealand 2.75 (Betway).
New Zealand have joint favourites in their top batsman market with both Kane Williamson and Martin Guptill on offer at 3.75 with Bet365. Tom Latham follows at 5.00 with Bet365 and Betfair while Ross Taylor is slightly further back at 5.50 with Bet365.
There are lots of options down the order including Corey Anderson at 10.00 with Bet365 but Guptill is the pick here. He didn’t enjoy the best of IPLs with Kings XI Punjab but in the 50 over game, he’s more consistent and tends to start a tournament strongly.
For Australia, we have joint favourites again with David Warner and Steve Smith quoted at a best price of 4.33 with Bet365. Aaron Finch is on offer at best odds of 5.50 with Betfair while the power hitting of Chris Lynn can be backed at 5.50 with Betfair again.
Smith was our preferred bet through the IPL where he was in decent form and that should continue in the longer format. Other alternatives in this market include Glenn Maxwell and Travis Head, both of whom can be backed at a top price of 8.00 with Betfair.
Top Batsman Odds Summary: New Zealand: Guptill 3.75 (Bet365 – Editor’s Pick), Williamson 3.75 (Bet365), Latham 5.00 (Bet365), Taylor 5.50 (Bet365), Anderson 10.00 (Bet365).
Australia: Warner 4.33 (Bet365), Smith 4.33 (Bet365), Finch 5.50 (Betfair), Lynn 5.50 (Betfair), Head 8.00 (Betfair), Maxwell 8.00 (Betfair).
Other Side Bets
The century bet is probably safe for this one and the best price from any player on either side to go past three figures is 1.66 with Bet365. It’s not an exciting figure but it’s a strong option and gives you a little more value than Australia’s win price so could be an alternative there.
For a final tip, however, Australia’s top bowler market has Mitchell Starc as favourite to return best figures for his team at a top price of 4.00 with Betfair. We’ll need to check the selection for this one but we like the look of James Pattinson at 4.50 with Bet365. Pattinson enjoyed a good stint in county cricket with Notts and, if he does play, should give us a chance at that price.
Australia Top Bowler Odds Summary: Starc 4.000 (Betfair), Cummins 4.50 (Bet365), Pattinson 4.50 (Bet365 – Editor’s Pick), Zampa 5.00 (Betfair).
It could be that Australia’s bowlers give them the edge here. The two teams look very strongly matched in the batting departments so one good spell with the ball will hopefully, for the sake of our tip, give the Aussies an opening win.