We’re used to seeing Mumbai as the slowest starters at the IPL; a team who tend to just claim their top four place at the last minute before going deeper into the competition. All that has changed and despite losing their opening match, Rohit Sharma’s men are top of the table and looking good for the knockouts.
Delhi remain in the top four but two straight defeats leaves them locked on four points with three other sides so anything less than a win on Saturday is likely to see them overtaken.
The result market is a predictable one and it’s no surprise to see Mumbai out in front at 1.62 with Betway. The Daredevils are the outside punt at 2.30 with Bet365 but how can Zaheer Khan’s side upset those odds?
While they may have won two on the bounce after an opening loss, there were issues with those two wins. Firstly, one was against a struggling Kings XI side while the second needed Sanju Samson to produce the innings of his life.
As with last year, we’re seeing some confused selection with Angelo Mathews brought in to disturb what was a winning team. Carlos Brathwaite was out of form but does the Sri Lankan, who went for 3-41 against Sunrisers, deserve to come straight back?
Based on form and the recent performances of Mumbai in particular, there really should only be one winner here.
Match Odds Summary: Mumbai Indians 1.62 (Betway – Editor’s Pick), Delhi Daredevils 2.30 (Bet365)
There had been calls for Mumbai to bring in Lendl Simmons at the top of the order but that would have been a little unfair on Jos Buttler, who is more of a late order hitter and was a little out of position. Buttler’s 77 from 37 balls against KXIP should put an end to that discussion and the Englishman starts at 3.75 with Bet365 and Betway to top score for his side on Saturday.
The other, most obvious player to look at is Nitish Rana who holds the Orange Cap and is in the form of his life right now. Rana is quoted at odds of 5.50 with Bet365 while other options include Parthiv Patel at 5.00 with Betway and Rohit Sharma at 5.00 with Betway.
I expect Rohit to come into this tournament more as the weeks develop but Rana is my tip for now.
For the Daredevils, I had expected Sam Billings to build on his first half century of the tournament but there has been little from the opener since his 55 against Kings. Billings is at a best of 4.33 with Betfair but I would ignore him and look instead at either Samson, who has been fairly consistent since that ton, at 4.00 with Bet365, or Rishabh Pant, who is due another big knock and can be backed at 6.00 with Bet365 again.
Top Batsman Odds Summary: Mumbai Indians: Buttler 3.75 (Bet365), Rohit Sharma 5.00 (Betway), Patel 5.00 (Betway), Rana 5.50 (Bet365 – Editor’s Pick).
Delhi Daredevils: Samson 4.00 (Bet365), Billings 4.33 (Betfair), Pant 6.00 (Bet365)
Other Side Bets
With Mumbai so dominant and so explosive right now, I’m seriously tempted by the century market where Bet365 are quoting 7.00 on any player from either side going past three figures. Remember, also, that Sanju Samson has already got there.
However, I’ll stick with something that should be safer and take Mumbai to hit more sixes at 1.61 with Bet365 again. The way they got past Kings XI on Thursday was seriously impressive and I expect Buttler, Rana and the rest to take this market and the match itself.
Most Sixes Odds Summary: Mumbai Indians 1.61 (Bet365 – Editor’s Pick) Delhi Daredevils 2.88 (Betway), the Tie 8.00 (Bet365).