West Indies vs Australia: Tri Series 2016 Match 5 Preview

West Indies v Australia International cricket 2016

There are five more matches to play before we reach the final of this competition but Australia already look to have booked their place despite an early defeat to South Africa.

With the games having switched to a faster St Kitts’ surface, the matches will be higher-scoring and form should decide the winners while we are here in Basseterre.

It’s all about who will join them and Monday sees host nation West Indies looking for some much-needed points.

Match Odds & Game Preview

No surprises in this market as Australia lead the way at odds of 1.36 with Bet365 while the Windies are way back at 3.20 with 888Sport. That slow pitch in Guyana was evening things out to an extent but after David Warner blasted 109 to help the Aussies overcome South Africa last time out, we expect Steve Smith’s men to just get stronger from this point.

Spin will become less effective, although it’s worth noting that Adam Zampa took three wickets in that most recent match so West Indian hopes are likely to rest on Sunil Narine who took 2-36 when these teams last met. The home side themselves should be more comfortable against the seamers but the key bowler in the whole game is Australia’s Mitchell Starc who looks to be back to his best.

Betting Pick: There are individual players who can upset the odds but form and a stronger side makes the Aussies the only logical option.

Must Read: How to bet on cricket from a mobile phone.

Top Batsmen Betting Picks

West Indies vs Australia Tri Series 2016

Warner was a must-back in the recent IPL and that ton last time out sees him shorten to 3.75 with Bet365. We’re still going to get involved at that figure although Aaron Finch and Usman Khawaja at 4.00 are strong alternatives. Finch has enjoyed a good few months but Khawaja’s form has dipped since IPL9 and overall, it all comes back to Warner.

For value further down the order, Smith at 4.50 with Bet365 and Maxwell at 7.00 with Bet365 will attract some interest.

The Windies have only played twice so far and no-one is showing up as a reliable pick in their version of the top batsman betting. Opener Johnson Charles top scored with just 22 when these sides last met and he is a decent outside option at 5.00 with Bet365 as Marlon Samuels and Darren Bravo go off as joint favourites.

Betting Pick: Samuels and Bravo are both listed at 4.50 with Bet365 while Kieron Pollard was the hero in their opening win over South Africa and is our tip for a small stake at 6.50 with Bet365 once again.

Other Betting Tips

Pollard’s presence makes the Windies a good bet to hit the most sixes in this game at 1.83 with Bet365. There should be a few maximums in these conditions although, if Warner and Maxwell stay at the crease long enough then Australia will be a value outside punt at 2.25 with Bet365 again.

One market that should be fairly safe is the Powerplay where Australia are very short at 1.57 with Bet365. Look at the respective top orders and there should only be one winner and there is a little more value in that figure than the Aussies’ straight win price of 1.36.

Betting Tip: We know that we should never write off the West Indies and although many of their best players are absent from this series, the likes of Narine, Samuels and Pollard have the talent to upset that market. However, with a change of conditions we should see form and overall strength start to settle these games but if you don’t like the look of Australia’s win odds of 1.36, you have lots of options in the side markets for Monday’s One Dayer.

Must Read: Cricket betting strategy.

In the News

[1] foxsports.com.au, West Indies v Australia: coverage of one-day international tri-series match in St Kitts, 2016