A washout in Sunday’s third ODI in Bristol leaves us in a rare position: Three matches have already gone in this five game series yet England lead only by a 1-0 scoreline.
The forecast is a little better for Wednesday’s fixture at the Oval however so let’s hope we get in a full day’s play.
Match Odds & Game Preview
Although the ODI leg of this tour remains alive, England just keep getting shorter in the market and the odds for Eoin Morgan’s men currently stand at 1.25 with Bet365. If you think Sri Lanka can cause an upset meanwhile, the tourists start at 4.00 with Bet365 again.
We know that the Sri Lankans took their hosts to a tie in the first match and really should have won it but in the play that we have seen since that point, they have been poor. An injury to Angelo Mathews means that the skipper is only half fit and that is going to affect their chances too, as this series closes out.
They can do it but as we’d said ahead of the second game, Sri Lanka need to bat first and pass 300. In Bristol, they made just 248 before the showers came. England look way too short at 1.25 but they have all the momentum and should take an unassailable lead if the weather stays clear.
Top Batsmen Betting Picks
The only thing we really learned from the play at Bristol was that Sri Lanka continue to rely on Angelo Mathews and Dinesh Chandimal for their runs. Ahead of Wednesday’s match Mathews leads his side’s top batsman market at 4.33 with Bet365 while Chandimal gives more value at 4.50 with Bet365 once again.
Betting Tip: We’re assuming that Mathews plays here: he is clearly struggling but is such an important player for the visitors that he must be included. We’ll therefore back Mathews the skipper for this match betting pick.
England’s options are tougher to call and very few of their batsmen have had much time at the crease, thanks to the weather and that record breaking opening stand between Alex Hales and Jason Roy at Edgbaston.
For the Oval, Hales starts things off at 4.00 with Bet365 while Joe Root is close behind at 4.33 with Bet365 once again. Value options include Jason Roy at 4.50, Jos Buttler at 7.00 and Jonny Bairstow – all of those prices are with Bet365, but I’m waiting for Joe Root to get some time at the crease and take his final chance.
Other Bet Tips
If you are really not interested in England’s odds of 1.25 but you think they will win this match then there are some better prices that essentially rely on a victory for the hosts. One of these is the Powerplay bet where Bet365 has the English to be ahead at the end of the first 15 overs at 1.50.
Betting Tips: You know that England will go hard from ball one with Hales, Roy, Root, Morgan and the rest playing positively. Sri Lanka can match them but have suffered from losing early wickets which have forced them to rebuild so this one should hopefully be fairly safe.
Similarly, the team to hit most sixes market shows England at 1.61 with Bet365 and Sri Lanka at 2.88 with Betfair. The Sri Lankans are tempting at that figure and they would have given a comfortable profit in the first match but England have just got better from that point and they should give the return at the Oval.
Match Winner Tip: Just reading through that list of England batsman – Hales, Roy, Root, Morgan, Buttler, Bairstow – they are so strong now and remember they bat all the way down to Liam Plunkett at 11. Sri Lanka can do it but all the form and momentum points to another English win.