A defiant comeback from South Africa means that a win over Australia in Bridgetown on Sunday should see them through to next week’s final and they will have some confidence against an Australian side who haven’t been at their best in this tri series so far.
Both teams will get a second chance with final games against the West Indies next week but victory here would provide a useful cushion ahead of those matches.
Match Odds & Game Preview
After a slow start for the South Africans, the two sides now look to be evenly matched but that view isn’t reflected in the betting where Australia are hot favourites at 1.73 with 888Sport. With two wins and two defeats from their four games so far, Steve Smith’s men have been very inconsistent and that’s not an accusation that you can usually throw at any Aussie XI.
The loss of David Warner will also be a blow in the latter stages of this tournament although Usman Khawaja showed a welcome return to form in their recent match against the Windies.
Meanwhile, South Africa have all the momentum and will tempt many punters at their win price of 2.10 with Bet365. They started slowly but with Hashim Amla, Quinton De Kock and Faf Du Plessis all finding form last time out, they are peaking at just the right time.
Imran Tahir’s career best figures also helped to make the difference but will he be as effective on this Bridgetown surface which has traditionally helped the quicker bowlers? It’s a tight one but the greater quality in the Australian seam attack could be the defining factor that hands them the points.
Top Batsman Betting Picks
Without Warner in the side, Smith and Khawaja take the favourite’s slot for Australia with both men listed at 4.33 with Bet365. Aaron Finch has found some good touch at times and is further back at 4.50 with Bet365 while George Bailey follows at 6.50 with 888Sport.
Betting Pick: Elsewhere, we’ve waited a long time for Glenn Maxwell to produce an innings of note and if you think the ‘Big Show’ will top score for Australia you can get 8.50 with Bet365. That’s a tempting price but we’re going to play safer with Finch.
Moving on to South Africa and we haven’t quite seen the best of AB De Villiers as yet but this could be the time for him to deliver. AB is rarely out of form for long so we’ll keep the faith here and back him at 4.50 with Bet365.
Amla’s ton against the West Indies last time out sees him start as favourite here at 3.75 with Bet365 while De Kock is at 4.33 with Bet365 once again.
Other alternatives include Du Plessis at 5.00 with Bet365 and Duminy at 9.00 with 888Sport.
Other Bet Tips
With team totals and individual scores starting to pick up in St Kitts, we expect them to continue on an upward curve in Barbados and any player to score a century with the bat looks a good option at 2.00 with Bet365.
Alternatively, with South Africa finding top, power hitting form at just the right time, they look a strong pick to hit the most sixes at 2.10 with Bet365.
Betting Tip: As for the match result, while the slow men have enjoyed this series so far, this could be a game and a surface where the quicks have the final say. Therefore with Mitchell Starc looking to be somewhere near his best, we’re backing Australia for a narrow victory.
As one final side bet, Starc to return best figures for Australia at 3.65 with 888Sport is worth adding to your online slip.
In the News
 indianexpress.com, Australia vs South Africa: Match called-off, 2016