With CSK out of the picture for now, the Royal Challengers Bangalore start as favorites for IPL9 but is this really their year or will Virat Kohli’s men disappoint us once again?
On Tuesday, RCB host a Sunrisers team that look good on paper but ahead of the toss, the IPL betting sites are giving David Warner’s side little chance of taking the points.
I was expecting a closer market but the Royal Challengers are way out in front here at 1.53 with Bet365 for the win while betting on the Sunrisers will give you some good value at 2.60 with 888Sport.
It’s certainly tempting to go for the outsiders and when you look at their probable top three, they should do well in this tournament and have a chance of making the play offs. Skipper Warner is likely to open with the explosive Shikhar Dhawan and then you have Kane Williamson coming to the crease at first drop.
Sunrisers then have the option of playing Eoin Morgan who had a poor World T20 but we know he can be a devastating hitter in this form of the game.
Meanwhile, RCB’s short price is largely down to their powerful top order which comprises the familiar faces of Kohli, Chris Gayle and AB De Villiers. This year they will be joined by Shane Watson to make their batting even stronger so we can see now why they are such short favorites.
The contest, I think, is between those batters and a relatively weak Sunrisers bowling attack and while I think RCB will win it, I’m not sure I will take them at such short win odds.
Side markets are much more tempting for this game and the standout price for me is the 4.00 on offer with 888Sport for De Villiers to top score for the Royal Challengers. If you prefer, Kohli is the favorite 3.25 with 888Sport while Gayle is close to that at 3.50 with 888Sport again.
Watson could be a tempter at 5.00 with 888Sport but it’s De Villiers for me here.
The Sunrisers’ version of this market is also interesting with Warner some way out in front at odds of 3.50 with 888Sport. Williamson is next at 4.00 with 888Sport but I think that Dhawan will start this tournament strongly so I’m going to take the left hander at 4.25 – also with 888Sport.
That’s an evenly matched set of batting line ups but Sunrisers’ bowling isn’t as strong and that’s why I think they will go down here.
I’m really surprised by some of the prices in the ‘No Batsman to Pass 50’ markets and when you think that we’ve started this tournament with two low scoring games, it’s got to be interesting. I’m tempted to take a small punt on that at a great price of 6.00 with Bet365 but is it too much of a risk when you look at those batting line ups?
It probably is too risky so instead, you can look at the total sixes market where under 17 is at 1.91 with Bet365.
Coming back to the result and I think the bookies are right: RCB should win it so if you like a modest profit then you can back the home side at that price of 1.53. For me, I want a bit more in terms of value so I’m backing De Villiers to top score for RCB at 4.00 with 888Sport and Dhawan to do the same for the Sunrisers at 4.25 with 888Sport once again.